2024年7月18日 星期一 19:43:55

云南两糖厂破产转让 糖业新一轮整合或开启

 

  近日,一则糖业企业破产拍卖公告出现在相关网站上,引起不少业界人士关注。因为就在同日,郑州白糖期货市场临近交割的近月合约出现大跳水,广西、云南各大白糖批发市场也接连大幅下挫,云南现货市场已经出现3000元/吨以下的报价。白糖价格的连续下跌,已经使不少糖厂面临亏损局面,新的一轮产业整合正在开启。
  这则破产拍卖公告的主角是云南省景东彝族自治县糖业总公司(下称“景东糖业”),拍卖的资产是该公司的两个糖厂——者孟糖厂和漫湾糖厂。公告称,景东糖业申请破产的原因是“因企业管理不善,严重亏损,资不抵债,不能清偿到期债务”。
  对于这条正常的拍卖信息,白糖业界人士表现出高度关注。银河期货资深白糖行业分析师熊梓敬告诉《第一财经日报》,这个信息体现出在糖价大幅下挫的背景下,糖厂已经出现严重亏损,白糖产业新的一轮产业调整已经展开。而这可能对未来的白糖价格产生影响。
  昨日,郑州白糖期货临近交割的SR0807和SR0809合约出现跳水,分别下跌97元/吨和74元/吨。这引发了广西、云南等远期交易市场和白糖现货市场的大幅下跌,目前南宁白糖报价3150元/吨、柳州报3060~3070元/吨,昆明报3050元/吨,而成交依然清淡。
  熊梓敬认为,郑州白糖期货近月合约的跳水,主要因为买方鉴于7、8月份天气炎热,容易引发白糖变质,达不到交割标准,影响远月合约的抛售,故不敢接货,选择了斩仓出逃。但这种连续大幅下跌已经引发白糖期货价格跌破糖厂成本价,目前一些糖厂在3100元/吨下方已经停止售糖。
  “这种恐慌性的下跌有助于构筑白糖糖价的一个中期底部。”熊梓敬说,尤其对于2009年的合约会形成支撑。因为在今年下半年白糖市场存在三大不确定因素:第一是因为糖价下跌过大带来的甘蔗田转做水稻田;第二是糖厂进行产品结构调整,探索甘蔗从白糖生产转向酒精生产;第三是天气因素,广西存在出现秋冬连旱的可能。

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