2024年7月18日 星期一 19:43:55

泰国商会称泰国农产品2011年趋向涨价10%

    据泰国《世界日报》1130日报道,泰国商会副秘书长蓬信预测,2011年泰农产品[20.19 -1.03%]价格也许上涨达10%,包括大米、木薯、饲料原料、豆类、棕榈果及橡胶,主要来自三方面的因素,包括为全球气候变化、国际原油价格上涨以及替代能源使用量增加。

    气候变化的因素难于控制,由于连续发生自然灾害,包括水灾及旱灾,难于规定农产品生产数量,农产品也许会遭受损失,使产量减少及价格上涨。

    虽然泰国的种植面积大,但缺乏策划及防备水灾的措施。

    2011国际油价上涨,将对农产品生产成本带来影响,预测2011年原油价格将从2010年底每桶90美元上涨至超过100美元,由于国际大型燃油生产集团也许会再调增价格。

    受到油价上涨的影响,全球转向增加生产替代能源,尤其是使用农作物作生产原料,可能出现替代能源生产厂商与饲料厂商争夺原料的问题。

    另一方面,目前部分农作物的生产量低于需求,例如棕榈果、木薯及豆类,需求量将持续增加至少3-4年。

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